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Will libraries disappear in 2019?

Slate magazine has published a very nice slideshow titled “Borrowed Time” about the past and future of libraries. On the final slide it refers to the Extinction Timeline created by What’s Next and Future Exploration Network, where we had put 2019 for the extinction of libraries. Slate writes:

Ross Dawson, a business consultant who tracks different customs, devices, and institutions on what he calls an Extinction Timeline, predicts that libraries will disappear in 2019. He’s probably right as far as the function of the library as a civic monument, or as a public repository for books, is concerned. On the other hand, in its mutating role as urban hangout, meeting place, and arbiter of information, the public library seems far from spent. This has less to do with the digital world—or the digital word—than with the age-old need for human contact.

Absolutely we are shifting into a world where experiences and physical interactions are becoming more important than ever. For example, shopping in shops will never disappear. We will create new spaces where we can meet and interact. We are yet to see whether the spaces where people spend their time are those based around books and collected information.

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  • Jessica

    As someone who has worked in several different kinds of libraries over the past decade, I think that the prediction might be true in some cases and not true in others. Harvard’s stacks aren’t going anywhere.

    As for your local public library branch, which has become in the last decade a low-rent Internet cafe without the cafe? It might not be around in 2019. I think academic libraries will become more like museums…the big ones will get bigger and wealthier and do ever more innovative things, and the little ones will probably hang on as study spaces.

    But public libraries, corporate libraries, and some special libraries (government, medical, law, etc.) will be reevaluated constantly as digital database products continue to expand their holdings.

  • http://knskns kanaka

    Libraries might ahnge their format which is a dire need. Performance of the libraries in a new environment will make the job respectable. All these can happen only in an envvironment whrere the syllbi is time related. kanaka

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About the Blog author

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Ross Dawson is globally recognized as a leading futurist, entrepreneur, keynote speaker, strategy advisor, and bestselling author. He is Founding Chairman of AHT Group, which consists of 3 companies: consulting, publishing, and ventures firm Advanced Human Technologies, future and strategy firm Future Exploration Network, and events company The Insight Exchange.

Ross is author most recently of Implementing Enterprise 2.0, the prescient Living Networks, which anticipated the social network revolution, and the Amazon.com bestseller Developing Knowledge-Based Client Relationships (click on the links for free chapter downloads). He is based in Sydney and San Francisco with his wife jewellery designer Victoria Buckley and two beautiful young daughters.

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